The exchange, which took place in Russian, has been translated as: The Moskva called on the soldiers to surrender in return for their safety, which was firmly declined by the defenders. It is a small island with a single village populated by fewer than 30 people, that had a contingent of 13 border guards stationed on the island at the time of the attack. On 24 February 2022, the Russian flagship cruiser Moskva, and patrol boat Vasily Bykov, began an assault on Snake Island, a Ukrainian island located in the Black Sea. On 13 April 2022, one day after the first issue of the commemorative stamp, the Moskva was critically damaged by an explosion caused by Ukrainian anti-ship missiles and sank the following day. On his release, Hrybov was awarded a medal for his actions at the end of March. During Hrybov's captivity, his family applied for a defensive trademark on the slogan. The Ukrainian border guards were captured by the Russian Navy in the attack. Weeks later, the phrase was commemorated on a postage stamp by Ukrposhta, the Ukrainian postal service. The phrase, and derivatives of the phrase, became widely adopted during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine in protests and demonstrations around the world. " Russian warship, go fuck yourself", was the last communication made on 24 February 2022 during the Russian attack on Snake Island in Ukraine's territorial waters by border guard Roman Hrybov to the Russian missile cruiser Moskva. but the probability of getting heads at least once at some point within 100 coin flips is considerably more than 50% 99.999999999999999999999999999921% specifically.Billboard in Dnipro, Ukraine with the statement written in Russian The first coin flip has a 50% chance to be heads, the 30th coin flip has a 50% chance to be heads, the 98th coin flip has a 50% chance to be heads, etc. Going back to the coin example: If we flip a coin 100 times it's extremely likely heads will happen at least once. You can use this to calculate your success rate for at least one Elgif after any number attempts the formula to calculate your success over any given number of attempts (y) is as follows, with (x) being the drop/success% (such as 0.20 for 20%): At a 1% drop rate you would need 69 runs for a 50% drop chance, 459 runs for a 99% drop chance, and 688 runs for a 99.9% drop chance should you be the walking dictionary-definition of unlucky.
The drop/capture chance would never be 100% you can get nearer & nearer to 100% but the drop/capture will never actually be guaranteed. You can read more about this in depth here: Ī more relevant 'easy' example is if something has a 1% drop rate, the odds of that something dropping once after 100 runs is not 100%, but actually ~63.39677%. The 15th flip? You guessed it, 50%.Īnswer: It's statistically likely the next 90 flips will end up with 45 heads & 45 tails, giving you a total of 55 heads & 45 tails with your original 10 flips, as each coin flip is not influenced by the previous ones.
Now consider this What happens on the 13th coin flip? You have a 50 percent chance of heads or tails. In reality a streak of heads(or tails!) is very unusual with roughly a ~0.098% probability of a 10-coin heads or tails streak. Usually flipping said-coin a hundred times would be enough to even out heads or tails.
The argument in answering “Yes” to the previous question is essentially how given a legitimate coin, if you flip it enough, will come up with 50 percent heads & 50 percent tails (technically speaking, exactly 50% given each coin flip is an independent event). If you answered "Yes", then you've fallen victim to what's known as " The Gambler's Fallacy" & it applies a great deal in Brave Frontier. If you keep flipping it until you’ve flipped it a hundred times will the heads vs tails even out leaving you with roughly 50 tails & 50 heads?" You flip a legitimate (non-rigged) coin 10 times in a row & get 10 heads.
This isn't directly related to the above, but does relate to Brave Frontier overall. Probability is a more involved subject, & one which many people misunderstand. Bonus Round!) Often misunderstood, & more complex: Probabilities & Gambler's Fallacy.
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